- Valuations are rich. US stock market rally has been going on for 6 years.
- The only time US equities have gone up so long without a 20% crash was between 1992 and 1999.
- In the last 114 years, CAPE (Shiller PE) ratio has been above 26 times during only 3 occasions - in the market peaks of 2007, 1999 and 1929.
The last time Tan predicted a crash was in 2011, and we know by now, he was wrong. But I am still excited, because if a crash truly comes, I will be moping up stocks.
Some of Tan's recommendations in a market crash are AIA(HK), Treatt Plc(Europe), De'Longhi(Milan), IP Group(London), Church and Dwight and Estee Lauder (US).
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