Sunday, April 22, 2012

What makes a good investor


Good Investors are are not exceptionally clever, nor are they especially driven.


However, they are:

     1.  At peace with themselves - they enjoy happy marriages and blissful family lives
     2.  Know their limits - never chase after share price
     3.  Make big bets when blood is on the streets
     4.  Go in with eyes wide open - they observe consumer habits and make careful note of trends
     5.  Do not accept analyst reports at face value
     6.  They do not invest if they do not understand what is going on
     7.  Have ready cash reserves to take advantage of opportunities

Adapted from "Don't go chasing stock tips" by Goh Eng Yeow. This article appeared in the Sunday Times on 22 Apr 2012.

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Cheapest Stocks in 6 Years Lure Funds: China Overnight

The lowest Chinese stock valuations since 2005 are a buy signal to the biggest emerging-market money managers, who say the economy will avoid a hard landing as the government bolsters growth according to this article.

More China stocks to consider

Also, to consider China Minzhong and Petrochina.

China Minzhong Current Price: 0.99
Attractive Fundamentals. PE: 4.8,  P/B: 0.9


Petrochina Current Price: 10.84.
Sexy industry. PE: 12.05, P/B: 1.6
Bullish Engulfing.

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Which China stock should I buy?

I think it's better to buy some for keeps now. China is cheap. Period.

This is a list of stocks I have narrowed down:

Stock
Price(HK$)
P/E
P/B
Technicals
Uptrend?
China Citic Bank
4.57
5.22
1
50% retracement
Yes
China Construction Bank
5.96
7.2
1.5
50% retracement
Yes
CNOOC
15.60
8
2.15
50% retracement
Yes
China Overseas Land
15.90
8.6
1.85
Little retracement

Yes
Dongfeng  Motors
13.90
9.2
2.1
50% retracement
Yes
Guangzhou R & F
10.10
5.5
1.17
Little retracement

Yes
Industrial & Commercial Bank
5.01
6.9
1.5
50% retracement
Yes
Yanlord
S$1.24  
8.15
0.82
50% retracement
Yes
(Source: Bloomberg)

All are on newly established uptrends since January, and most are sitting nicely on 50% support
(the golden number). In addition, all have attractive PE ratio of below 10 and one (Yanlord) even below its book value. So, what am I waiting for?

My choice candidate: Yanlord (it has the bonus appeal of having Peter Lim on board).

Sunday, April 8, 2012

China is attractive now - but is it time to buy yet?

The Shanghai market is looking REALLY attractive.











I mean, there is that little more downside that it can go, that's that. But problem is, global markets are starting to weaken. This should limit any rebound that the Shanghai market could have. So, until global stock markets fully correct, I will not be pressing the buy button yet. But I am watching closely.

Friday, April 6, 2012

Why I remain bullish

Here are the reasons why I do not see a market top yet:
  • Valuations remain compelling
  • Retail investors have yet to enter the market in full force
  • Bull markets in emerging economies last 69 months and up 423% on average and bear markets there average 14 months and down 57% (Mark Mobius)

However, in the very short term (next few weeks or months), I see more consolidation in the markets, especially since markets have made such a big run since Decmber 2011. But, any dips will present opportunities to buy stocks at more attractive levels.